Gtheory4LLM: Generalizability Theory for LLM Subjective Tasks

Gtheory4LLM provides exact balanced Gaussian generalizability-theory models, a bounded univariate Gaussian route for missing cells, and dense or sparse first-order Laplace models for categorical outcomes in LLM annotation and evaluation studies. Specify which evaluator, prompt, and repeated-run sources matter for your study, fit their variation, and compare projected reliability across alternative numbers of evaluators and prompts.

This is a research beta. Passing the package's numerical acceptance checks does not establish parameter recovery, interval coverage, Laplace approximation quality, or a scientifically sufficient number of evaluators. Read docs/LIMITATIONS.md before quoting a coefficient, and docs/VALIDATION_SCOPE.md for what has actually been validated.

Source version: 1.0.0.9000. For versioned archives, manuals and publication status, see the repository manifest and GitHub releases. These repository records are excluded from the package archive; this source version does not assert that a corresponding release has been published.

Development toward 1.0

This local development version adds sparse categorical estimation and fixed call effects, optional information-based uncertainty, incomplete univariate Gaussian panels, shared categorical simulation, and explicitly named observed, decision and category-vector targets. Cost planning can screen those simulated targets. Pilot planning assesses latent binary/ordinal interval precision or point-estimator behavior for the observed, vector and decision targets. The formula interface and historical release artifacts are retained.

These bounded implementations are not a released or fully qualified 1.0 package. Full-panel solver performance, approximation accuracy, interval coverage and cross-platform release qualification remain separate work; see development status.

Install

R 4.5 or later and OpenMx are required. Nothing in this package's own R code needs R 4.5; the floor is inherited from OpenMx 2.22.11, which calls a C entry point introduced in R 4.5.0 while declaring only R (>= 3.5.0) itself. Declaring it here turns a later, unexplained compilation failure into a clear refusal. Older pairings such as R 4.3 with OpenMx 2.21.11 have been reported to pass these checks but are not part of the validated gate; to use one, install from source with a relaxed floor, or source("load_functions.R"), which imposes no version requirement.

The current CRAN release, which can be older than this source version, installs with its dependencies:

install.packages("Gtheory4LLM")

A specific release can also be installed from its versioned archive, for example the v0.6.0 archive, Gtheory4LLM_0.6.0.tar.gz:

install.packages("OpenMx")
install.packages(
  "https://github.com/Veronica0206/Gtheory4LLM/releases/download/v0.6.0/Gtheory4LLM_0.6.0.tar.gz",
  repos = NULL, type = "source"
)
library(Gtheory4LLM)

The repository keeps checksummed release files in artifacts/. A 0.4.0 bundle, Gtheory4LLM_0.4.0.tar.gz, was prepared and tagged but never published; 0.4.1 supersedes it. To install this source version, run R CMD build ., then R CMD INSTALL Gtheory4LLM_1.0.0.9000.tar.gz, the archive it creates. For the exact checked release archive, use the versioned GitHub release and verify its accompanying manifest. Building the vignette needs knitr, rmarkdown, and pandoc; using the installed package does not. CRAN availability is separate from GitHub availability. The version CRAN carries is recorded in the repository development status.

A complete LLM reliability workflow

The installed tutorial creates synthetic continuous judgments for 24 items, 4 evaluators, 3 prompts, and 2 runs within each evaluator/prompt pair. It completes design inspection, fitting, diagnostics, G/Phi calculation, and an 18-allocation decision study. It requires no API keys or external data.

source(system.file("doc", "LLM-workflow.R",
                   package = "Gtheory4LLM", mustWork = TRUE))

The same workflow is installed as a vignette: browseVignettes("Gtheory4LLM"), or vignette("LLM-workflow", package = "Gtheory4LLM"). Its source is vignettes/LLM-workflow.Rmd. The main steps are:

# llm_data is created by the tutorial above.
llm_formula <- quality ~ item * (evaluator + prompt) + evaluator:prompt:run
gt_preflight(llm_formula, llm_data, measured = "item")
fit <- gt_fit(llm_formula, llm_data, measured = "item")
summary(fit)
gt_diagnostics(fit)$numerically_accepted
as.data.frame(gt_reliability(fit))
dstudy <- gt_dstudy(fit, expand.grid(evaluator = c(2, 4, 6),
  prompt = c(2, 3, 4), run = c(1, 2)))
as.data.frame(dstudy)

The formula names outcomes and random sources in one call. Use gt_design() when a facet appears in no random-source term, or when declaring within-cell replication or batches; those declarations have no formula syntax. The study-planning vignette retains explicit designs for these cases.

G describes relative comparisons between items. Phi additionally includes absolute shifts across the declared measurement conditions. Decision studies average over specified random facet populations and hold fitted source covariances fixed. More evaluators or prompts are meaningful projections only if those populations and covariance assumptions remain appropriate. These are point estimates carrying an interval. For example, G = 0.80 describes the universe-score share of variance for relative item comparisons under the specified model; it is not 80% labeling accuracy or agreement with a human reference. Phi additionally penalizes absolute panel shifts and is no larger than G under this model.

The default Gaussian engine reports asymptotic standard errors and delta-method intervals where the likelihood curvature and boundary rules permit them. They use the restricted (REML) or profile (ML) likelihood Hessian:

summary(fit)$variances          # Documented source-variance summary table.
subset(as.data.frame(gt_reliability(fit)), kind == "outcome")
logLik(fit); AIC(fit); gt_component_vcov(fit)

These are asymptotic Wald quantities conditional on the declared model and allocation. A source resting on a variance boundary has no Wald standard error. For discrete fits, gt_control(discrete = list(check_hessian = TRUE)) requests full observed information in nuisance and covariance parameters; intervals are available only when the accepted fit also passes the information and boundary checks. They remain conditional on the Laplace approximation, with coverage unestablished. What those intervals do and do not cover is stated once in docs/LIMITATIONS.md.

Fixed facets

A facet is random when the study generalizes to a population of its levels, and fixed when the universe is exactly the levels used. A chosen temperature or prompt set may be fixed when inference is restricted to those conditions; the choice follows the intended generalization, not the facet name. Declare it with fixed, which applies the mixed model of Brennan (2001): the object-by-fixed interaction is averaged over that facet's levels and joins universe-score variance, and a source built only from fixed facets leaves the model.

gt_reliability(fit, fixed = "prompt")

A fixed facet's count cannot be changed, and a decision study may not project over it.

Tables and figures

as.data.frame() exports reliability or D-study results with allocation, coefficient scale, uncertainty status and extrapolation recorded alongside each estimate. gt_dstudy_target() identifies supplied allocations meeting an estimated target and preserves ties for the fewest measurements among them. It does not optimize beyond the supplied grid or guarantee future reliability.

reliability <- gt_reliability(fit)
as.data.frame(reliability)
plot(reliability, target = 0.80)

Preflight plots show cell completeness and replication, random-source dimensions, or category representation across design groups. Outcome profiles include category counts and groups with no observed variation; they do not certify adequate information. D-study plots show coefficients against measurements per object, with optional target lines and extrapolation markers. Figures use base R graphics, so standard PNG/PDF devices can save them. The installed LLM-workflow vignette demonstrates these views and CSV export; the visualization guide explains their interpretation.

A portable report combines retained model context, diagnostics, result tables and figures without rerunning optimization:

report <- gt_report(fit, reliability = reliability)
# Writes a standalone offline HTML file; existing files are protected.
# gt_export_report(report, "analysis-report.html")

Reports exclude observations and group-level identifiers, while retaining variable/source names and aggregate results. Review those names before sharing. Unavailable fitting provenance stays unavailable; the report-generation session is recorded separately. See the reporting guide.

Plan an annotation study

Study planning separates three quantities: distinct pilot items provide estimation information, annotations per item define the final score, and items per request define shared context and request overhead. Increasing one does not substitute for increasing another. These workflows are included in the package since version 0.5.0; their statistical boundaries are described below.

The study-planning vignette runs synthetic examples of all three additions. Its monetary amounts are illustrative user inputs.

For example, after fitting an accepted model without a shared-call source:

plan <- gt_plan(fit,
  candidates = list(evaluator = 2:4, prompt = 1:3),
  cost = function(d) data.frame(annotation = 0.01 * d$total_annotations,
                                setup = 2 * d$allocation_evaluator),
  currency = "USD", cost_date = "2026-10-09", study_items = 1000,
  target = 0.80, coefficient = "Phi")
subset(as.data.frame(plan), minimum_cost %in% TRUE)

The analytic cost-planning route refuses modelled Call fits. The categorical target route supports the fitted equal fixed-call layout, with unchanged item count and group membership; it does not optimize batch size or regroup items. Use the separate batch projection functions for Gaussian call targets. Supplying request costs for an independent-item model does not account for shared-call error, and adding human-review costs does not itself model a benefit from review. Pilot interval-width planning refuses batch declarations and nominal outcomes; their point-target route supplies no parameter intervals or coverage. See the function manuals for the remaining scope and limits.

A new shared-call fit retains compact item-to-batch labels even with retain = list(data = FALSE): the layout is necessary for named comparisons. Batch projection objects contain those labels and supplied target weights. gt_report(fit) and its HTML export exclude the labels; share a projection object only when its identifiers are appropriate to disclose. Older fits lacking the layout must be refitted rather than having their grouping guessed.

Designs and outcome types

Facet names do not impose a hierarchy. Declare any nonempty subset of the instrumentation facets to interact with the object, give other facets explicit nesting parents, and choose higher-order interactions separately. With four facets, all 15 nonempty crossed subsets are supported by the design interface. An explicit random-source formula is also available, and gt_fit() and gt_preflight() accept a two-sided model formula such as score ~ item * rater in place of the outcome names and the design. gt_preflight() reports the requested and resolved sources, dimensions, replication, resource limits, and downstream operations before optimization; it does not certify statistical identification or successful fitting.

Outcome Fitting Coefficients and explicit projection targets
Gaussian Exact balanced ML/REML, univariate or joint; bounded observed-row ML/REML for incomplete univariate panels Observed-score G/Phi and explicit composites; incomplete fits require an intended balanced projection
Binary Dense or sparse Bernoulli probit/logit, univariate or joint Latent G/Phi; separate observed-score, category-vector and decision targets
Ordinal Dense or sparse cumulative probit/logit, univariate or joint Latent G/Phi; separate declared-score, category-vector and decision targets
Unordered categorical Dense or sparse reference-category multinomial softmax, univariate or joint Category-vector and decision targets; no analytic scalar G/Phi or arbitrary numeric-score ratio

gt_family() records category order and reference categories explicitly, beyond the distribution and link in a base R family object. Named lists match these specifications to joint outcomes. Gaussian and discrete outcomes cannot be combined in one joint fit.

Gaussian fits use the exact balanced likelihood through OpenMx by default. For univariate Gaussian models, gt_control(gaussian = list(engine = "lme4")) fits the same sources through lme4. Acceptance requires completion, stationarity and restart checks, plus agreement between the two deviance calculations at the lme4 estimates. These checks do not prove global optimality. This alternative does not supply source-variance standard errors or coefficient intervals.

To fit missing whole cells in a univariate Gaussian panel, explicitly select gt_control(gaussian = list(engine = "lme4", panel = "observed")). The route checks an independent dense observed-row ML/REML likelihood and covariance-kernel identification, with a default limit of 1,000 observed rows and a preparation-memory guard. It fills no cells and assumes missingness is ignorable for the specified covariance model. Ordinary reliability of that incomplete allocation remains unavailable. gt_dstudy(..., projection = "balanced") instead requires every intended facet count and projects to that complete future allocation with all facets random; no coefficient intervals are supplied.

Discrete fits use a first-order Laplace likelihood. Select sparse algebra with gt_control(discrete = list(engine = "sparse")); dense remains the default. Both routes support binary, ordinal and nominal outcomes, joint categorical models and eligible equal fixed-call layouts. Shared row, dimension and parameter guards still apply, alongside the selected engine's memory guard. Sparse algebra does not by itself qualify a large model or improve the approximation. An integrated external engine adapter for these outcomes is not implemented. gt_laplace_check(fit) compares its objective at the fitted parameters with numerical quadrature or importance sampling. The latter uses a defensive mixture of 90% Laplace Gaussian and 10% random-effect prior, with the full mixture density in every weight. This guarantees finite weight moments for the supported categorical probability likelihoods; it does not guarantee adequate precision from a finite sample. The Monte Carlo standard error and empirical effective sample size are diagnostics, and the comparison does not estimate parameter bias.

Discrete observations follow their chosen response distributions; their latent random effects remain Gaussian. Gaussian assumptions therefore remain part of the model. Latent binary/ordinal reliability concerns an averaged latent response, not observed proportions, majority votes, or category agreement. Joint Gaussian-discrete models are not implemented.

gt_categorical_target() defines those other targets explicitly using paired future panels that share object effects and redraw instrumentation effects. Its score target is the absolute repeated-panel variance ratio; ordinal scores must be declared. Its category-vector target uses category proportions and is invariant to relabeling unordered categories. Decision agreement uses plurality votes with uniform tie-breaking and reports decision diversity: a constant label can have perfect agreement and no discrimination. These targets hold fitted parameters fixed and report simulation error, not parameter confidence intervals. They require no model refits. gt_plan() can compare them using coefficient = "observed_score", "category_vector" or "decision_agreement", with an explicit scale and seeded integration controls; see help("gt_plan").

Traditional method-of-moments (MoM) G theory already accommodates random effects and crossed/nested designs. The package's contribution is the common workflow for explicit source selection, joint covariance models, different response families, and supported allocation comparisons. It does not claim that random effects are novel or that likelihood is uniformly superior to MoM. See Brennan (2001) and Jiang et al. (2020) for G theory and earlier multivariate likelihood implementations.

At one observation per object-by-facets cell, a discrete fit cannot identify the object-by-all-facets source that the default design requests, and that source is never dropped silently. Declare the same design without it:

binary_design <- gt_design("item", "rater", full_cell = FALSE)

full_cell = FALSE removes exactly that one term and leaves every other requested source unchanged; random = ~ item + rater writes the reduced model out in full. Either way the omission is an explicit modeling choice.

A first discrete fit, start to finish — the guard above, preflight, binary and ordinal fits, diagnostics, latent reliability and a decision study — is installed as a runnable script:

source(system.file("examples", "discrete-first.R", package = "Gtheory4LLM"))

system.file("examples", "discrete-boundary.R", package = "Gtheory4LLM") shows the companion case: a constructed panel whose zero object variance is a legitimate optimum rather than evidence about reliability.

Numerical controls and limits

gt_control() exposes named starting values, reproducible additional fitting attempts, an optimizer held fixed across attempts, the discrete resource limits, and which optional components a fit keeps. Discrete fits retain rejected candidates and their reasons. summary(fit) reports acceptance, selected attempt, boundary status, and approximation status without printing model internals or observations; detailed records remain available.

The default Gaussian route and ordinary analytic coefficients require a complete balanced coded panel. The explicitly selected observed-row Gaussian route and intended balanced projection have separate guards described above. Both discrete engines are bounded by row, dimension, parameter and working-memory limits; sparse requests use the sparse memory budget rather than the dense budget. gt_preflight() reports these structural and resource checks before optimization.

Every limitation is listed once, in docs/LIMITATIONS.md — what the designs, the Gaussian engine and the discrete engine do and do not support, which combinations are not implemented, and what "supported" means here. Read it before quoting a coefficient. What has actually been checked, and what a future study still has to establish, is in docs/VALIDATION_SCOPE.md; the initial statistical pilots preserve their coverage, approximation and recovery results, including boundaries and unavailable comparisons.

Example data and references

The real-data workflow audits the native outcome types and full designs of all three panels, then demonstrates how to interpret unsupported requests and numerical failures.

gt_example() lists eight outcome sets from three real LLM annotation panels: hate speech, mental health, and drug reviews. Each contains 21,600 measurements of 100 items crossed with four evaluators, three prompts, six temperatures, and three seeds. These are alternative codings of three panels, not eight independent datasets. The package includes design identifiers and modeled annotations from the public OSF deposit. The original source CSV checksums match that deposit. Raw texts, original corpus reference labels, and API metadata are omitted from the package tables. Use gt_example() rather than data() to load an outcome set: it returns the chosen coding, its family specification, and provenance together with the data.

The six discrete native outcome sets each contain 21,600 rows and exceed the dense discrete engine limits by more than an order of magnitude; raising the limits does not make the dense engine practical at that size. They are data resources, not full-panel discrete fitting examples. Use a scientifically justified small design for this backend; do not remove item interactions merely to obtain an accepted fit. The two mental-health 7L/3L sets remain Gaussian working scores under both coding options.

Temperature-specific seed agreement is a useful descriptive diagnostic. Lower agreement at higher temperatures may reflect changes in category probabilities, latent variances, or both; agreement alone does not identify which changed.

Use fixed = "temp" when the coefficient is intended to average over exactly the observed temperatures. This changes the reliability estimand after fitting; it cannot repair misspecification in the fitted variance model. If pooling across temperatures is questionable, a within-temperature analysis is one sensitivity analysis, with its own conditional estimand. It is not the only possible model and does not generalize across temperatures automatically. See help("gtheory_datasets").

Other native codings preserve binary, ordinal, or unordered categorical outcomes; coding = "manuscript" reproduces the seven historical Gaussian working-score codings. Mental-health 7L/3L values are working scores, not established clinical severity scales. The installed manual documents variables, category mappings, preprocessing, source corpora, and the corresponding annotation studies. In particular, the original mental-health preprocessing could default omitted items within a parsed batch to NORMAL; these defaults cannot be distinguished in the bundled tables. Interpret the labels with that limitation in mind:

gt_example()
x <- gt_example("hate_speech")
help("gtheory_datasets", package = "Gtheory4LLM")
help("gtheory_hate_speech", package = "Gtheory4LLM")
help("gtheory_mental_health", package = "Gtheory4LLM")
help("gtheory_drug_review", package = "Gtheory4LLM")

The task bibliography is installed as system.file("DATASET_REFERENCES.bib", package = "Gtheory4LLM"). Use citation("Gtheory4LLM") for the software citation. Loading a table does not establish that every design or full joint discrete fit is feasible.

Validation and user feedback

A single release entrypoint checks sources and the distributed archive separately:

python3 scripts/run_validation.py --scope all --as-cran

The entry point selects the release manifest the same way the hosted workflows do: a development or published source version keeps the retained manifest, and a frozen, not yet tagged release version whose retained manifest still records the previous release gets a rehearsal bundle built outside the checkout, so the command works on such a checkout without bypassing the identity checks. A staged rehearsal is read by the source scope's identity check only; the artifact scope always checks the retained, committed bundle, and --scope artifact stages nothing. Staging uses the run's interpreter, library and timeout, and is recorded as the release_manifest_staging stage of the report. A version that is already tagged cannot be rebuilt as a rehearsal; validate it against its own bundle with --release-manifest PATH, or after its bundle commit has been merged.

See validation instructions for the locked environment, minimum-R and Windows/macOS checks, source-only checks, and retained evidence. The numerical suite includes independent dense Gaussian likelihoods, binary/ordinal comparisons with lme4 and ordinal, likelihood/derivative identities, joint covariance estimation, and coefficient aggregation. These are specific numerical checks, not a substitute for simulation-based statistical validation. A configured workflow is not evidence of a passing run.

Report installation failures, unclear design declarations, and numerical problems through GitHub issues. Please include the package/R versions, a small synthetic example, the declared family/design, and relevant diagnostics. Remove private observations and credentials before posting. Maintainer: Jin Liu, Veronica.Liu0206@gmail.com.

License

Package code is licensed under GPL-3. The real annotation tables retain the CC BY 4.0 license stated in the public deposit’s data codebook; see data attribution and license. Synthetic tutorial and test examples are covered by the code license. Public release files are limited to the package, its documented examples, tests, and software release artifacts. Unpublished manuscripts and research archives are excluded.

Where to read what

Each document has one job, so that nothing has to be kept true in two places.

Document What it covers
This README Install, a complete worked workflow, and what the package is for
vignettes/LLM-workflow.Rmd The end-to-end reliability tutorial, installed and runnable
vignettes/study-planning.Rmd Fixed-layout batch targets, monetary allocation search and Gaussian pilot precision
docs/LIMITATIONS.md Everything the package does not do, listed once
docs/VALIDATION_SCOPE.md What has been checked, how, and what that does not establish
docs/REAL_DATA_WORKFLOW.md The bundled panels, their native outcomes, and their resource ceilings
docs/DEVELOPMENT_STATUS.md The current release state and what is being worked on
docs/ROADMAP.md Planned work beyond this release, in the order it is planned
docs/DISCRETE_BACKEND_CONTRACT.md Private dense response, matrix and mode interfaces
NEWS.md Version history
docs/CONTRIBUTING.md, docs/RELEASE_CHECKLIST.md, docs/REPOSITORY_POLICY.md, SECURITY.md Working on the package itself

Development and release checks

See the contribution guide for setup and statistical change requirements, and the release checklist for version, tag, archive, and manual correspondence. Software checks and scientific validation are reported separately. The development status tracks completed work and remaining extensions.